Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.006949 0.007812 0.008754 0.009862 0.011133 0.012549 0.014250
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.005479 0.006624 0.007983 0.009725 0.011914 0.014593 0.018148
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004739 0.006008 0.007600 0.009762 0.012654 0.016433 0.021816
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004129 0.005433 0.007139 0.009566 0.012980 0.017686 0.024794
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003793 0.005156 0.007010 0.009757 0.013802 0.019656 0.028995
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003460 0.004837 0.006771 0.009742 0.014294 0.021175 0.032703
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003072 0.004395 0.006305 0.009329 0.014121 0.021638 0.034778
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002838 0.004153 0.006102 0.009279 0.014485 0.022961 0.038420
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002753 0.004122 0.006208 0.009715 0.015666 0.025742 0.044976
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002505 0.003818 0.005861 0.009377 0.015509 0.026216 0.047408
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002308 0.003578 0.005593 0.009142 0.015496 0.026927 0.050371
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002181 0.003440 0.005478 0.009152 0.015911 0.028454 0.055151
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002121 0.003412 0.005551 0.009514 0.017037 0.031518 0.063730
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001978 0.003233 0.005356 0.009375 0.017212 0.032769 0.068702
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001878 0.003120 0.005261 0.009411 0.017724 0.034756 0.075663
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001754 0.002955 0.005061 0.009223 0.017761 0.035745 0.080457
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001694 0.002899 0.005053 0.009406 0.018578 0.038520 0.090119
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001612 0.002797 0.004952 0.009392 0.018972 0.040407 0.097904
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001488 0.002610 0.004675 0.008996 0.018494 0.040222 0.100184
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001417 0.002516 0.004571 0.008948 0.018783 0.041887 0.107856
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001406 0.002534 0.004683 0.009366 0.020180 0.046443 0.124750
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001312 0.002388 0.004461 0.009042 0.019805 0.046504 0.128346
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001236 0.002271 0.004290 0.008817 0.019643 0.047095 0.133715